The impact of E1 Nino on the precipitation in China for different seasons are investigateddiagnostically. It is found that E1 Nino can influence the precipitation in China significantly duringits mature phase. In the ...The impact of E1 Nino on the precipitation in China for different seasons are investigateddiagnostically. It is found that E1 Nino can influence the precipitation in China significantly duringits mature phase. In the Northern winter, spring and autumn, the positive precipitation anomaliesare found in the southern part of China during the E1 Nino mature phase. In the Northernsummer, the patterns of the precipitation anomalies in the E1 Nifio mature phase are different fromthose in the other seasons. The negative precipitation anomalies appear in both southern andnorthern parts of China, while in between around the lower reaches of the Yangtze River and theHuaihe River valleys the precipitation anomalies tend to be positive.In the Northern winter, spring and autumn, the physical process by which E1 Nino affects theprecipitation in the southern part of China can be explained by the features of the circulationanomalies over East Asia during the E1 Nino mature phase (Zhang et al. 1996). The appearance ofan anticyclonic anomaly to the north of the maritime continent in the lower troposphere during theE1 Nino mature phase intensifies the subtropical high in the western Pacific and makes it shiftwestward. The associated southwesterly flow is responsible for the positive precipitation anomaliesin the southern part of China. In the Northern summer, the intensified western Pacific subtropicalhigh covers the southeastern periphery of China so that the precipitation there becomes less. In addition, the weakening of the indian monsoon provides less moisture inflow to the northern part ofChina.展开更多
用研究灾变规律的关键时方法分析了El Nio、La Nia事件和太阳活动对河南省东亚飞蝗 (Locus ta migratoria manilensis Meyen) 的影响。结果发现, El No和La Nia事件不会促使河南省沿黄地区东亚飞蝗的大发生, 并得出El Ni no和L...用研究灾变规律的关键时方法分析了El Nio、La Nia事件和太阳活动对河南省东亚飞蝗 (Locus ta migratoria manilensis Meyen) 的影响。结果发现, El No和La Nia事件不会促使河南省沿黄地区东亚飞蝗的大发生, 并得出El Ni no和La Ni na事件对飞蝗大发生的影响主要通过影响其发生地的天气、气候 (主要是降水), 从而影响飞蝗的大发生。在太阳黑子相对数高年的后一年, 河南省东亚飞蝗大发生的可能性超过90%。展开更多
In this paper the multi-stage digit filter is used to analyse the data of Earth rotation represented by the length of day, ΔLOD. The results show that the interannual variations of Earth rotation, which are in the ti...In this paper the multi-stage digit filter is used to analyse the data of Earth rotation represented by the length of day, ΔLOD. The results show that the interannual variations of Earth rotation, which are in the time scale of several years but not quasi-periodic terms, exist in the long periodic fluctuations. They induce the relative variation in the length of day of 0.3×10^(-8).Comparing the series of length of day with the data of temperature departure of the sea surface in the equatorial area of the eastern Pacific, we found that the deceleration and acceleration of the interannual rate of Earth rotation are consistent with the warming up and down of sea temperature in the equatorial area very well. This means that every El Nio event always occurs after the turning of acceleration of the interannual rate of Earth rotation to deceleration.According to the strong interannual variation in the length of day and strong warming of the sea surface temperature in the equatorial area between 1982 and 1983, we analysed the data from atmospheric angular momentum (AAM) calculated by using the global zonal wind data, and found that the interannual variation in AAM has an excess of two to three months. We suggest that the interannual variations in Earth rotation and the El Nio events are probably responses of solid earth and ocean, respectively, to the anomaly of atmospheric circulation.It is also shown in oar analysis that the minimum of ΔLOD series, which is deduced from UT1 data observed regularly with astrometry, can predict the occurrence of the El Nio events for a long range forecast about one year.展开更多
文摘The impact of E1 Nino on the precipitation in China for different seasons are investigateddiagnostically. It is found that E1 Nino can influence the precipitation in China significantly duringits mature phase. In the Northern winter, spring and autumn, the positive precipitation anomaliesare found in the southern part of China during the E1 Nino mature phase. In the Northernsummer, the patterns of the precipitation anomalies in the E1 Nifio mature phase are different fromthose in the other seasons. The negative precipitation anomalies appear in both southern andnorthern parts of China, while in between around the lower reaches of the Yangtze River and theHuaihe River valleys the precipitation anomalies tend to be positive.In the Northern winter, spring and autumn, the physical process by which E1 Nino affects theprecipitation in the southern part of China can be explained by the features of the circulationanomalies over East Asia during the E1 Nino mature phase (Zhang et al. 1996). The appearance ofan anticyclonic anomaly to the north of the maritime continent in the lower troposphere during theE1 Nino mature phase intensifies the subtropical high in the western Pacific and makes it shiftwestward. The associated southwesterly flow is responsible for the positive precipitation anomaliesin the southern part of China. In the Northern summer, the intensified western Pacific subtropicalhigh covers the southeastern periphery of China so that the precipitation there becomes less. In addition, the weakening of the indian monsoon provides less moisture inflow to the northern part ofChina.
文摘用研究灾变规律的关键时方法分析了El Nio、La Nia事件和太阳活动对河南省东亚飞蝗 (Locus ta migratoria manilensis Meyen) 的影响。结果发现, El No和La Nia事件不会促使河南省沿黄地区东亚飞蝗的大发生, 并得出El Ni no和La Ni na事件对飞蝗大发生的影响主要通过影响其发生地的天气、气候 (主要是降水), 从而影响飞蝗的大发生。在太阳黑子相对数高年的后一年, 河南省东亚飞蝗大发生的可能性超过90%。
文摘In this paper the multi-stage digit filter is used to analyse the data of Earth rotation represented by the length of day, ΔLOD. The results show that the interannual variations of Earth rotation, which are in the time scale of several years but not quasi-periodic terms, exist in the long periodic fluctuations. They induce the relative variation in the length of day of 0.3×10^(-8).Comparing the series of length of day with the data of temperature departure of the sea surface in the equatorial area of the eastern Pacific, we found that the deceleration and acceleration of the interannual rate of Earth rotation are consistent with the warming up and down of sea temperature in the equatorial area very well. This means that every El Nio event always occurs after the turning of acceleration of the interannual rate of Earth rotation to deceleration.According to the strong interannual variation in the length of day and strong warming of the sea surface temperature in the equatorial area between 1982 and 1983, we analysed the data from atmospheric angular momentum (AAM) calculated by using the global zonal wind data, and found that the interannual variation in AAM has an excess of two to three months. We suggest that the interannual variations in Earth rotation and the El Nio events are probably responses of solid earth and ocean, respectively, to the anomaly of atmospheric circulation.It is also shown in oar analysis that the minimum of ΔLOD series, which is deduced from UT1 data observed regularly with astrometry, can predict the occurrence of the El Nio events for a long range forecast about one year.