Objective To evaluate whether the traditional Child-Turcotte-Pugh(CTP) can be improved by adding serum creatinine and/or serum sodium values,and to assess whether the modified CTP score can challenge the short-term pr...Objective To evaluate whether the traditional Child-Turcotte-Pugh(CTP) can be improved by adding serum creatinine and/or serum sodium values,and to assess whether the modified CTP score can challenge the short-term prognostic ability of the MELD score.Methods 187 patients with hepatitis B related disease were studied.CTP score,Child-Pugh-Na (CTP-Na),Child-Pugh-creatinine(CTP-Cr)score,Child-Pugh-Na-creatinine (CTP-Na-Cr)score,model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD)score and MELD the incorporation of serum sodium (MELD-Na) score were calculated.The 3-month and 1 year mortality in the patients was measured,and the validity of each models was analyzed.Results At 3-month and 1 year enrollment,the prognostic score of survival group was significantly lower than that of death group in each prognostic score model,P<0.05.There were no significant difference between the same group in 3-month and 1 year enrollment of each prognostic score,P>0.05.The CTP-Na-Cr score and MELD-Na score had a significantly higher AUC in comparison with MELD,CTP-Na and CTP at 3-month enrollment(P<0.05)and CTP-Na-Cr score also had a significantly higher AUC in comparison with MELD,CTP-Na and CTP at 1 year enrollment.There was no significant difference between 3-month AUC data and 1 year enrollment one of each prognostic score,P>0.05.Conclusions The CTP-Na-Cr score model is a more accuracy model than other score models,it deserve further research.展开更多
目的探讨肝脏面积与腹部面积比(liver to abdominal area ratio,LAAR)评估失代偿期肝硬化患者预后的价值.方法选取2015年7月至2016年7月青海大学附属医院消化内科住院的108例失代偿期肝硬化患者为研究对象.收集患者肝功能、肾功能及凝...目的探讨肝脏面积与腹部面积比(liver to abdominal area ratio,LAAR)评估失代偿期肝硬化患者预后的价值.方法选取2015年7月至2016年7月青海大学附属医院消化内科住院的108例失代偿期肝硬化患者为研究对象.收集患者肝功能、肾功能及凝血功能等指标,计算LAAR、Child-Turcotte-Pugh(CTP)评分,终末期肝病模型(model for end-stage liver disease,MELD)评分.根据随访1年后患者的预后分为病死组及存活组.比较两组患者的LAAR、CTP评分及MELD评分.采用受试者工作特征曲线(receiver operating characteristic curve,ROC)分析LAAR诊断失代偿期患者肝硬化预后的价值.采用Kaplan-Meier生存分析比较不同LAAR值患者的预后.结果病死组患者LAAR显著低于存活组[(33.67±4.28)vs(39.16±4.33)],CTP评分及MELD评分显著高于存活组,差异均有统计学意义(t=6.473,P=0.001;z=-5.595,P=0.001;t=-5.493,P=0.001).ROC曲线表明,LAAR、CTP评分和MELD评分的AUC分别为0.807(95%CI:0.725~0.890,P=0.001)、0.804(95%CI:0.715~0.893,P=0.001)和0.788(95%CI:0.693~0.883,P=0.001).LAAR的约登指数为37.30%,敏感性为0.692,特异度为0.837,3种方法预后评估价值差异无统计学意义(均P<0.05).Kaplan-Meier生存分析表明,LAAR<37.30%患者的生存率较LAAR≥37.30%患者显著下降(χ2=7.121,P=0.008),且1年后病死风险增加3.571倍.结论 LAAR对判断失代偿期肝硬化患者病情及预后具有一定价值,方法简便易行,值得推广.展开更多
Background and aims: Acute variceal hemorrhage (AVH) is the most serious encountered complication of liver cirrhosis and carries high mortality rate. Several risk factors that predict early rebleeding and mortality ha...Background and aims: Acute variceal hemorrhage (AVH) is the most serious encountered complication of liver cirrhosis and carries high mortality rate. Several risk factors that predict early rebleeding and mortality have been studied and there is no similar study in our country, so the aim of this study was to identify the risk factors of early rebleeding and mortality after bleeding episode in cirrhotic patients in Yemen. Patients and Method: It was a prospective study of cirrhotic patients with AVH who were admitted to the main public hospitals in Sana’a between April 2014 and March 2015. Demographic information, medical histories, physical examination findings, and laboratory test results were collected. Endoscopic and pharmacologic treatment was performed. The patients were followed up since admission and up to 6 weeks for the occurrence of rebleeding and mortality after the acute attack. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify independent risk factors for rebleeding and mortality. Survival analysis was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Result: A total of 102 patients were analyzed. 26 patients (25.5%) rebleeded within 6 weeks period. The predictive factors significantly associated with rebleeding within 6 weeks period in univariate analysis were clot on varix at index endoscope (P - 47.29, P = 0.001) and high serum bilirubin (- 1.19, P = 0.01). Sixteen patients died (15.7%) within 6 weeks period. Predictors of mortality with significant difference in univariate analysis were hypovolemic shock (P = 0.001), high WBCs count (P - 1.41, P - 1.40, P < 0.05) were independent risk factors for mortality within 6 weeks period. Conclusion: Early rebleeding in cirrhotic patients with AVH was associated with clot on varix at endoscope and high serum bilirubin more than 3 mg/dl. Early mortality rate was associated with high MELD score (≥19) and WBCs over 10.3 × 10<sup>9</sup>/l.展开更多
文摘Objective To evaluate whether the traditional Child-Turcotte-Pugh(CTP) can be improved by adding serum creatinine and/or serum sodium values,and to assess whether the modified CTP score can challenge the short-term prognostic ability of the MELD score.Methods 187 patients with hepatitis B related disease were studied.CTP score,Child-Pugh-Na (CTP-Na),Child-Pugh-creatinine(CTP-Cr)score,Child-Pugh-Na-creatinine (CTP-Na-Cr)score,model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD)score and MELD the incorporation of serum sodium (MELD-Na) score were calculated.The 3-month and 1 year mortality in the patients was measured,and the validity of each models was analyzed.Results At 3-month and 1 year enrollment,the prognostic score of survival group was significantly lower than that of death group in each prognostic score model,P<0.05.There were no significant difference between the same group in 3-month and 1 year enrollment of each prognostic score,P>0.05.The CTP-Na-Cr score and MELD-Na score had a significantly higher AUC in comparison with MELD,CTP-Na and CTP at 3-month enrollment(P<0.05)and CTP-Na-Cr score also had a significantly higher AUC in comparison with MELD,CTP-Na and CTP at 1 year enrollment.There was no significant difference between 3-month AUC data and 1 year enrollment one of each prognostic score,P>0.05.Conclusions The CTP-Na-Cr score model is a more accuracy model than other score models,it deserve further research.
文摘目的探讨肝脏面积与腹部面积比(liver to abdominal area ratio,LAAR)评估失代偿期肝硬化患者预后的价值.方法选取2015年7月至2016年7月青海大学附属医院消化内科住院的108例失代偿期肝硬化患者为研究对象.收集患者肝功能、肾功能及凝血功能等指标,计算LAAR、Child-Turcotte-Pugh(CTP)评分,终末期肝病模型(model for end-stage liver disease,MELD)评分.根据随访1年后患者的预后分为病死组及存活组.比较两组患者的LAAR、CTP评分及MELD评分.采用受试者工作特征曲线(receiver operating characteristic curve,ROC)分析LAAR诊断失代偿期患者肝硬化预后的价值.采用Kaplan-Meier生存分析比较不同LAAR值患者的预后.结果病死组患者LAAR显著低于存活组[(33.67±4.28)vs(39.16±4.33)],CTP评分及MELD评分显著高于存活组,差异均有统计学意义(t=6.473,P=0.001;z=-5.595,P=0.001;t=-5.493,P=0.001).ROC曲线表明,LAAR、CTP评分和MELD评分的AUC分别为0.807(95%CI:0.725~0.890,P=0.001)、0.804(95%CI:0.715~0.893,P=0.001)和0.788(95%CI:0.693~0.883,P=0.001).LAAR的约登指数为37.30%,敏感性为0.692,特异度为0.837,3种方法预后评估价值差异无统计学意义(均P<0.05).Kaplan-Meier生存分析表明,LAAR<37.30%患者的生存率较LAAR≥37.30%患者显著下降(χ2=7.121,P=0.008),且1年后病死风险增加3.571倍.结论 LAAR对判断失代偿期肝硬化患者病情及预后具有一定价值,方法简便易行,值得推广.
文摘Background and aims: Acute variceal hemorrhage (AVH) is the most serious encountered complication of liver cirrhosis and carries high mortality rate. Several risk factors that predict early rebleeding and mortality have been studied and there is no similar study in our country, so the aim of this study was to identify the risk factors of early rebleeding and mortality after bleeding episode in cirrhotic patients in Yemen. Patients and Method: It was a prospective study of cirrhotic patients with AVH who were admitted to the main public hospitals in Sana’a between April 2014 and March 2015. Demographic information, medical histories, physical examination findings, and laboratory test results were collected. Endoscopic and pharmacologic treatment was performed. The patients were followed up since admission and up to 6 weeks for the occurrence of rebleeding and mortality after the acute attack. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify independent risk factors for rebleeding and mortality. Survival analysis was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Result: A total of 102 patients were analyzed. 26 patients (25.5%) rebleeded within 6 weeks period. The predictive factors significantly associated with rebleeding within 6 weeks period in univariate analysis were clot on varix at index endoscope (P - 47.29, P = 0.001) and high serum bilirubin (- 1.19, P = 0.01). Sixteen patients died (15.7%) within 6 weeks period. Predictors of mortality with significant difference in univariate analysis were hypovolemic shock (P = 0.001), high WBCs count (P - 1.41, P - 1.40, P < 0.05) were independent risk factors for mortality within 6 weeks period. Conclusion: Early rebleeding in cirrhotic patients with AVH was associated with clot on varix at endoscope and high serum bilirubin more than 3 mg/dl. Early mortality rate was associated with high MELD score (≥19) and WBCs over 10.3 × 10<sup>9</sup>/l.
