增强陆地生态系统碳汇(简称陆地碳汇)是减缓大气二氧化碳(CO_(2))浓度上升和全球变暖的重要手段,也是实现我国“碳中和”目标的有效途径.为全面理解陆地碳汇特征及其对实现“碳中和”目标的贡献,本文系统梳理了近40年来陆地碳源汇研究...增强陆地生态系统碳汇(简称陆地碳汇)是减缓大气二氧化碳(CO_(2))浓度上升和全球变暖的重要手段,也是实现我国“碳中和”目标的有效途径.为全面理解陆地碳汇特征及其对实现“碳中和”目标的贡献,本文系统梳理了近40年来陆地碳源汇研究的主要进展,阐述了全球和我国陆地碳汇的时空格局及其驱动因素,分析了陆地碳汇对实现“碳中和”目标的作用.根据全球碳收支评估报告,过去60年全球陆地碳汇从1960年代的(-0.2±0.9)Pg C yr^(-1)(弱碳源;1 Pg=10^(15)g=10亿吨碳)增加至2010年代的(1.9±1.1)Pg C yr^(-1)(碳汇).目前,陆地碳汇主要分布在北半球中高纬度地区,而热带地区表现为微弱的碳汇或碳源.不同类型生态系统的碳汇大小存在差异:森林是陆地碳汇的主体,灌丛、湿地生态系统和农田土壤整体表现出碳汇功能,但草地的碳源汇功能尚不明确.此外,荒漠生态系统可能起着碳汇功能,但其大小和形成机制尚存在争议.大气CO_(2)浓度上升、氮沉降、气候变化和土地覆盖变化等是影响陆地碳汇强度的主要因素,火灾、气溶胶等因素也影响其大小.不同区域陆地碳汇的驱动因素存在差异:北美和欧洲陆地碳汇主要是大气CO_(2)浓度上升和气候变化等因素所致;而在中国,除了上述全球变化要素外,植树造林、生态修复也是驱动其碳汇的重要因素.综合以往研究结果评估,目前我国陆地碳汇强度为0.20~0.25 Pg C yr^(-1),预计2060年可能处于0.15~0.52 Pg C yr^(-1)之间.未来研究需通过扩大生态系统调查与监测的范围、完善陆地生物圈模型等途径提升陆地碳汇的评估精度,量化各类措施对生态系统碳汇潜力的影响,精准评估我国陆地碳汇对实现“碳中和”目标的贡献.展开更多
China announced its national goal to reach the peak of carbon emission by 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality by 2060,during the General Assembly of the United Nations in September 2020.In this context,the potential of...China announced its national goal to reach the peak of carbon emission by 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality by 2060,during the General Assembly of the United Nations in September 2020.In this context,the potential of the carbon sink in China’s terrestrial ecosystems to mitigate anthropogenic carbon emissions has attracted unprecedented attention from scientific communities,policy makers and the public.Here,we reviewed the assessments on China’s terrestrial ecosystem carbon sink,with focus on the principles,frameworks and methods of terrestrial ecosystem carbon sink estimates,as well as the recent progress and existing problems.Looking forward,we identified critical issues for improving the accuracy and precision of China’s terrestrial ecosystem carbon sink,in order to serve the more realistic policy making in pathways to achieve carbon neutrality for China.展开更多
Enhancing the terrestrial ecosystem carbon sink(referred to as terrestrial C sink) is an important way to slow down the continuous increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide(CO_(2)) concentration and to achieve carbon neu...Enhancing the terrestrial ecosystem carbon sink(referred to as terrestrial C sink) is an important way to slow down the continuous increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide(CO_(2)) concentration and to achieve carbon neutrality target.To better understand the characteristics of terrestrial C sinks and their contribution to carbon neutrality,this review summarizes major progress in terrestrial C budget researches during the past decades,clarifies spatial patterns and drivers of terrestrial C sources and sinks in China and around the world,and examines the role of terrestrial C sinks in achieving carbon neutrality target.According to recent studies,the global terrestrial C sink has been increasing from a source of (-0.2±0.9) Pg C yr^(-1)(1 Pg=1015g)in the 1960s to a sink of (1.9±1.1) Pg C yr^(-1) in the 2010s.By synthesizing the published data,we estimate terrestrial C sink of 0.20–0.25 Pg C yr^(-1) in China during the past decades,and predict it to be 0.15–0.52 Pg C yr^(-1) by 2060.The terrestrial C sinks are mainly located in the mid-and high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere,while tropical regions act as a weak C sink or source.The C balance differs much among ecosystem types:forest is the major C sink;shrubland,wetland and farmland soil act as C sinks;and whether the grassland functions as C sink or source remains unclear.Desert might be a C sink,but the magnitude and the associated mechanisms are still controversial.Elevated atmospheric CO_(2) concentration,nitrogen deposition,climate change,and land cover change are the main drivers of terrestrial C sinks,while other factors such as fires and aerosols would also affect ecosystem C balance.The driving factors of terrestrial C sink differ among regions.Elevated CO_(2) concentration and climate change are major drivers of the C sinks in North America and Europe,while afforestation and ecological restoration are additionally important forcing factors of terrestrial C sinks in China.For future studies,we recommend the necessity for intensive and long-term ec展开更多
Current and past land use practices are critical in determining the distribution and size of global terrestrial carbon (C) sources and sinks. Althoughfossil fuel emissions dominate the anthropogenic perturbation of th...Current and past land use practices are critical in determining the distribution and size of global terrestrial carbon (C) sources and sinks. Althoughfossil fuel emissions dominate the anthropogenic perturbation of the global C cycle, land use still drives the largest portion of anthropogenic emissions in a number of tropical regions of Asia. The size of the emission flux owing to land use change is still the biggest uncertainty in the global C budget. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reported a flux term of 1.7 PgC@a-1 for 1990-1995 but more recent estimates suggest the magnitude of this source may be only of 0.96 PgC@a-1 for the 1990s. In addition, current and past land use practices are now thought to contribute to a large degree to the northern hemisphere terrestrial sink, and are the dominant driver for some regional sinks. However, mechanisms other than land use change need to be invoked in order to explain the inferred C sink in the tropics. Potential candidates are the carbon dioxide (CO2) fertilization and climate change; fertilization due to nitrogen (N) deposition is believed to be small or nil. Although the potential for managing C sinks is limited, improved land use management and new land uses such as reforestation and biomass fuel cropping, can further enhance current terrestrial C sinks. Best management practices in agriculture alone could sequester 0.4-0.8 PgC per year in soils if implemented globally. New methodologies to ensure verification and permanency of C sequestration need to be developed.展开更多
To predict global climate change and to implement the Kyoto Protocol for stabilizing atmospheric greenhouse gases concentrations require quantifying spatio-temporal variations in the terrestrial carbon sink accurately...To predict global climate change and to implement the Kyoto Protocol for stabilizing atmospheric greenhouse gases concentrations require quantifying spatio-temporal variations in the terrestrial carbon sink accurately. During the past decade multi-scale ecological experiment and observation networks have been established using various new technologies (e.g. controlled environmental facilities, eddy covariance techniques and quantitative remote sensing), and have obtained a large amount of data about terrestrial ecosystem carbon cycle. However, uncertainties in the magnitude and spatio-temporal variations of the terrestrial carbon sink and in understanding the underlying mechanisms have not been reduced significantly. One of the major reasons is that the observations and experiments were conducted at individual scales independently, but it is the interactions of factors and processes at different scales that determine the dynamics of the terrestrial carbon sink. Since experiments and observations are always conducted at specific scales, to understand cross-scale interactions requires mechanistic analysis that is best to be achieved by mechanistic modeling. However, mechanistic ecosystem models are mainly based on data from single-scale experiments and observations and hence have no capacity to simulate mechanistic cross-scale interconnection and interactions of ecosystem processes. New-generation mechanistic ecosystem models based on new ecological theoretical framework are needed to quantify the mechanisms from micro-level fast eco-physiological responses to macro-level slow acclimation in the pattern and structure in disturbed ecosystems. Multi-scale data-model fusion is a recently emerging approach to assimilate multi-scale observational data into mechanistic, dynamic modeling, in which the structure and parameters of mechanistic models for simulating cross-scale interactions are optimized using multi-scale observational data. The models are validated and evaluated at different spatial and temporal scales and r展开更多
文摘增强陆地生态系统碳汇(简称陆地碳汇)是减缓大气二氧化碳(CO_(2))浓度上升和全球变暖的重要手段,也是实现我国“碳中和”目标的有效途径.为全面理解陆地碳汇特征及其对实现“碳中和”目标的贡献,本文系统梳理了近40年来陆地碳源汇研究的主要进展,阐述了全球和我国陆地碳汇的时空格局及其驱动因素,分析了陆地碳汇对实现“碳中和”目标的作用.根据全球碳收支评估报告,过去60年全球陆地碳汇从1960年代的(-0.2±0.9)Pg C yr^(-1)(弱碳源;1 Pg=10^(15)g=10亿吨碳)增加至2010年代的(1.9±1.1)Pg C yr^(-1)(碳汇).目前,陆地碳汇主要分布在北半球中高纬度地区,而热带地区表现为微弱的碳汇或碳源.不同类型生态系统的碳汇大小存在差异:森林是陆地碳汇的主体,灌丛、湿地生态系统和农田土壤整体表现出碳汇功能,但草地的碳源汇功能尚不明确.此外,荒漠生态系统可能起着碳汇功能,但其大小和形成机制尚存在争议.大气CO_(2)浓度上升、氮沉降、气候变化和土地覆盖变化等是影响陆地碳汇强度的主要因素,火灾、气溶胶等因素也影响其大小.不同区域陆地碳汇的驱动因素存在差异:北美和欧洲陆地碳汇主要是大气CO_(2)浓度上升和气候变化等因素所致;而在中国,除了上述全球变化要素外,植树造林、生态修复也是驱动其碳汇的重要因素.综合以往研究结果评估,目前我国陆地碳汇强度为0.20~0.25 Pg C yr^(-1),预计2060年可能处于0.15~0.52 Pg C yr^(-1)之间.未来研究需通过扩大生态系统调查与监测的范围、完善陆地生物圈模型等途径提升陆地碳汇的评估精度,量化各类措施对生态系统碳汇潜力的影响,精准评估我国陆地碳汇对实现“碳中和”目标的贡献.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41988101)National Key R&D Program of China(Grant No.2019YFA0607304)。
文摘China announced its national goal to reach the peak of carbon emission by 2030 and achieve carbon neutrality by 2060,during the General Assembly of the United Nations in September 2020.In this context,the potential of the carbon sink in China’s terrestrial ecosystems to mitigate anthropogenic carbon emissions has attracted unprecedented attention from scientific communities,policy makers and the public.Here,we reviewed the assessments on China’s terrestrial ecosystem carbon sink,with focus on the principles,frameworks and methods of terrestrial ecosystem carbon sink estimates,as well as the recent progress and existing problems.Looking forward,we identified critical issues for improving the accuracy and precision of China’s terrestrial ecosystem carbon sink,in order to serve the more realistic policy making in pathways to achieve carbon neutrality for China.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (31988102)。
文摘Enhancing the terrestrial ecosystem carbon sink(referred to as terrestrial C sink) is an important way to slow down the continuous increase in atmospheric carbon dioxide(CO_(2)) concentration and to achieve carbon neutrality target.To better understand the characteristics of terrestrial C sinks and their contribution to carbon neutrality,this review summarizes major progress in terrestrial C budget researches during the past decades,clarifies spatial patterns and drivers of terrestrial C sources and sinks in China and around the world,and examines the role of terrestrial C sinks in achieving carbon neutrality target.According to recent studies,the global terrestrial C sink has been increasing from a source of (-0.2±0.9) Pg C yr^(-1)(1 Pg=1015g)in the 1960s to a sink of (1.9±1.1) Pg C yr^(-1) in the 2010s.By synthesizing the published data,we estimate terrestrial C sink of 0.20–0.25 Pg C yr^(-1) in China during the past decades,and predict it to be 0.15–0.52 Pg C yr^(-1) by 2060.The terrestrial C sinks are mainly located in the mid-and high latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere,while tropical regions act as a weak C sink or source.The C balance differs much among ecosystem types:forest is the major C sink;shrubland,wetland and farmland soil act as C sinks;and whether the grassland functions as C sink or source remains unclear.Desert might be a C sink,but the magnitude and the associated mechanisms are still controversial.Elevated atmospheric CO_(2) concentration,nitrogen deposition,climate change,and land cover change are the main drivers of terrestrial C sinks,while other factors such as fires and aerosols would also affect ecosystem C balance.The driving factors of terrestrial C sink differ among regions.Elevated CO_(2) concentration and climate change are major drivers of the C sinks in North America and Europe,while afforestation and ecological restoration are additionally important forcing factors of terrestrial C sinks in China.For future studies,we recommend the necessity for intensive and long-term ec
文摘Current and past land use practices are critical in determining the distribution and size of global terrestrial carbon (C) sources and sinks. Althoughfossil fuel emissions dominate the anthropogenic perturbation of the global C cycle, land use still drives the largest portion of anthropogenic emissions in a number of tropical regions of Asia. The size of the emission flux owing to land use change is still the biggest uncertainty in the global C budget. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) reported a flux term of 1.7 PgC@a-1 for 1990-1995 but more recent estimates suggest the magnitude of this source may be only of 0.96 PgC@a-1 for the 1990s. In addition, current and past land use practices are now thought to contribute to a large degree to the northern hemisphere terrestrial sink, and are the dominant driver for some regional sinks. However, mechanisms other than land use change need to be invoked in order to explain the inferred C sink in the tropics. Potential candidates are the carbon dioxide (CO2) fertilization and climate change; fertilization due to nitrogen (N) deposition is believed to be small or nil. Although the potential for managing C sinks is limited, improved land use management and new land uses such as reforestation and biomass fuel cropping, can further enhance current terrestrial C sinks. Best management practices in agriculture alone could sequester 0.4-0.8 PgC per year in soils if implemented globally. New methodologies to ensure verification and permanency of C sequestration need to be developed.
基金This study was supported by the China's Ministry of Science and Technology(Grant No.G2002CB412507)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.40425103).
文摘To predict global climate change and to implement the Kyoto Protocol for stabilizing atmospheric greenhouse gases concentrations require quantifying spatio-temporal variations in the terrestrial carbon sink accurately. During the past decade multi-scale ecological experiment and observation networks have been established using various new technologies (e.g. controlled environmental facilities, eddy covariance techniques and quantitative remote sensing), and have obtained a large amount of data about terrestrial ecosystem carbon cycle. However, uncertainties in the magnitude and spatio-temporal variations of the terrestrial carbon sink and in understanding the underlying mechanisms have not been reduced significantly. One of the major reasons is that the observations and experiments were conducted at individual scales independently, but it is the interactions of factors and processes at different scales that determine the dynamics of the terrestrial carbon sink. Since experiments and observations are always conducted at specific scales, to understand cross-scale interactions requires mechanistic analysis that is best to be achieved by mechanistic modeling. However, mechanistic ecosystem models are mainly based on data from single-scale experiments and observations and hence have no capacity to simulate mechanistic cross-scale interconnection and interactions of ecosystem processes. New-generation mechanistic ecosystem models based on new ecological theoretical framework are needed to quantify the mechanisms from micro-level fast eco-physiological responses to macro-level slow acclimation in the pattern and structure in disturbed ecosystems. Multi-scale data-model fusion is a recently emerging approach to assimilate multi-scale observational data into mechanistic, dynamic modeling, in which the structure and parameters of mechanistic models for simulating cross-scale interactions are optimized using multi-scale observational data. The models are validated and evaluated at different spatial and temporal scales and r
