Regression and autoregressive mixed models are classical models used to analyze the relationship between time series response variable and other covariates. The coefficients in traditional regression and autoregressiv...Regression and autoregressive mixed models are classical models used to analyze the relationship between time series response variable and other covariates. The coefficients in traditional regression and autoregressive mixed models are constants. However, for complicated data, the coefficients of covariates may change with time. In this article, we propose a kind of partial time-varying coefficient regression and autoregressive mixed model and obtain the local weighted least-square estimators of coefficient functions by the local polynomial technique. The asymptotic normality properties of estimators are derived under regularity conditions, and simulation studies are conducted to empirically examine the finite-sample performances of the proposed estimators. Finally, we use real data about Lake Shasta inflow to illustrate the application of the proposed model.展开更多
Regression and autoregressive mixed models are classical models used to analyze the relationship between time series response variable and other covariates. The coefficients in traditional regression and autoregressiv...Regression and autoregressive mixed models are classical models used to analyze the relationship between time series response variable and other covariates. The coefficients in traditional regression and autoregressive mixed models are constants. However, for complicated data, the coefficients of covariates may change with time. In this article, we propose a kind of partial time-varying coefficient regression and autoregressive mixed model and obtain the local weighted least-square estimators of coefficient functions by the local polynomial technique. The asymptotic normality properties of estimators are derived under regularity conditions, and simulation studies are conducted to empirically examine the finite-sample performances of the proposed estimators. Finally, we use real data about Lake Shasta inflow to illustrate the application of the proposed model.展开更多
Sequence and intensity are two essential components of bird moult.While the moult sequences of remex tracts are highly homogenous across passerines,other tracts apparently show a high variability.Moreover,order of mou...Sequence and intensity are two essential components of bird moult.While the moult sequences of remex tracts are highly homogenous across passerines,other tracts apparently show a high variability.Moreover,order of moult activation among tracts are insufficiently known.Likewise,dynamics of moult intensity as moult progresses remains poorly known.Here,we provide detailed quantitative description of moult sequence and intensity in the House Sparrow(Passer domesticus).To understand their role,we tested two hypotheses on the:1) protection function of moult sequence,and 2) aerodynamic and physiological constraints on moult intensity.We scored percentage growth of 313 captured sparrows using the mass of the feathers of each tract(also length for remiges)to monitor moult intensity throughout the complete moult progress,which is defined as the fraction of new and growing feathers in a moulting bird relative to the total plumage.Moult sequence was highly variable both within wing coverts and among feather tracts,with moult sequence differing among all birds to some degree.We only found support for the protection function between greater coverts and both tertials and secondaries.Remex-moult intensity conformed to theoretical predictions,therefore lending support to the aerodynamic-constraint hypothesis.Furthermore,remex-moult speed plateaued during the central stages of moult progress.However,overall plumage-moult speed did not fit predictions of the physiological-constraint hypothesis,showing that the remex moult is only constrained by aerodynamics.Our results indicate that aerodynamic loss is not simply the inevitable effect of moult,but that moult is finely regulated to reduce aerodynamic loss.We propose that the moult of the House Sparrow is controlled through sequence and intensity adjustments in order to:1) avoid body and wing growth peaks;2) fulfil the protection function between some key feather tracts;3) reduce detrimental effects on flight ability;4) keep remex sequence fixed;and 5) relax remex replacement to last展开更多
In this paper, we define and study polynomial entropy on an arbitrary subset and local measure theoretic polynomial entropy for any Borel probability measure on a compact metric space,and investigate the relation betw...In this paper, we define and study polynomial entropy on an arbitrary subset and local measure theoretic polynomial entropy for any Borel probability measure on a compact metric space,and investigate the relation between local measure-theoretic polynomial entropy of Borel probability measures and polynomial entropy on an arbitrary subset. Also, we establish a variational principle for polynomial entropy on compact subsets in the context of amenable group actions.展开更多
Partly linear regression model is useful in practice, but littleis investigated in the literature to adapt it to the real data which are dependent and conditionally heteroscedastic. In this paper, the estimators of th...Partly linear regression model is useful in practice, but littleis investigated in the literature to adapt it to the real data which are dependent and conditionally heteroscedastic. In this paper, the estimators of the regression components are constructed via local polynomial fitting and the large sample properties are explored. Under certain mild regularities, the conditions are obtained to ensure that the estimators of the nonparametric component and its derivatives are consistent up to the convergence rates which are optimal in the i.i.d. case, and the estimator of the parametric component is root-n consistent with the same rate as for parametric model. The technique adopted in the proof differs from that used and corrects the errors in the reference by Hamilton and Truong under i.i.d. samples.展开更多
Letf(x) be the density of a design variableX andm(x) = E[Y∣X = x] the regression function. Thenm(x) = G(x)/f(x), whereG(x) = rn(x)f(x). The Dirac δ-function is used to define a generalized empirical functionG n(x) f...Letf(x) be the density of a design variableX andm(x) = E[Y∣X = x] the regression function. Thenm(x) = G(x)/f(x), whereG(x) = rn(x)f(x). The Dirac δ-function is used to define a generalized empirical functionG n(x) forG(x) whose expectation equalsG(x). This generalized empirical function exists only in the space of Schwartz distributions, so we introduce a local polynomial of orderp approximation toG n(.) which provides estimators of the functionG(x) and its derivatives. The densityf(x) can be estimated in a similar manner. The resulting local generalized empirical estimator (LGE ) ofm(x) is exactly the Nadaraya-Watson estimator at interior points whenp = 1, but on the boundary the estimator automatically corrects the boundary effect. Asymptotic normality of the estimator is established. Asymptotic expressions for the mean squared errors are obtained and used in bandwidth selection. Boundary behavior of the estimators is investigated in details. We use Monte Carlo simulations to show that the proposed estimator withp = 1 compares favorably with the Nadaraya-Watson and the popular local linear regression smoother.展开更多
文摘Regression and autoregressive mixed models are classical models used to analyze the relationship between time series response variable and other covariates. The coefficients in traditional regression and autoregressive mixed models are constants. However, for complicated data, the coefficients of covariates may change with time. In this article, we propose a kind of partial time-varying coefficient regression and autoregressive mixed model and obtain the local weighted least-square estimators of coefficient functions by the local polynomial technique. The asymptotic normality properties of estimators are derived under regularity conditions, and simulation studies are conducted to empirically examine the finite-sample performances of the proposed estimators. Finally, we use real data about Lake Shasta inflow to illustrate the application of the proposed model.
文摘Regression and autoregressive mixed models are classical models used to analyze the relationship between time series response variable and other covariates. The coefficients in traditional regression and autoregressive mixed models are constants. However, for complicated data, the coefficients of covariates may change with time. In this article, we propose a kind of partial time-varying coefficient regression and autoregressive mixed model and obtain the local weighted least-square estimators of coefficient functions by the local polynomial technique. The asymptotic normality properties of estimators are derived under regularity conditions, and simulation studies are conducted to empirically examine the finite-sample performances of the proposed estimators. Finally, we use real data about Lake Shasta inflow to illustrate the application of the proposed model.
基金the Natural Sciences Museum of Barcelona(PASSERCAT-2 project)to JQ.
文摘Sequence and intensity are two essential components of bird moult.While the moult sequences of remex tracts are highly homogenous across passerines,other tracts apparently show a high variability.Moreover,order of moult activation among tracts are insufficiently known.Likewise,dynamics of moult intensity as moult progresses remains poorly known.Here,we provide detailed quantitative description of moult sequence and intensity in the House Sparrow(Passer domesticus).To understand their role,we tested two hypotheses on the:1) protection function of moult sequence,and 2) aerodynamic and physiological constraints on moult intensity.We scored percentage growth of 313 captured sparrows using the mass of the feathers of each tract(also length for remiges)to monitor moult intensity throughout the complete moult progress,which is defined as the fraction of new and growing feathers in a moulting bird relative to the total plumage.Moult sequence was highly variable both within wing coverts and among feather tracts,with moult sequence differing among all birds to some degree.We only found support for the protection function between greater coverts and both tertials and secondaries.Remex-moult intensity conformed to theoretical predictions,therefore lending support to the aerodynamic-constraint hypothesis.Furthermore,remex-moult speed plateaued during the central stages of moult progress.However,overall plumage-moult speed did not fit predictions of the physiological-constraint hypothesis,showing that the remex moult is only constrained by aerodynamics.Our results indicate that aerodynamic loss is not simply the inevitable effect of moult,but that moult is finely regulated to reduce aerodynamic loss.We propose that the moult of the House Sparrow is controlled through sequence and intensity adjustments in order to:1) avoid body and wing growth peaks;2) fulfil the protection function between some key feather tracts;3) reduce detrimental effects on flight ability;4) keep remex sequence fixed;and 5) relax remex replacement to last
基金supported by Foundation in higher education institutions of He’nan Province,P. R. China(Grant No. 23A110020)National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 11401363)+4 种基金the Foundation for the Training of Young Key Teachers in Colleges and Universities in He’nan Province,P. R. China (Grant No.2018GGJS134)supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Gratn No.11971236)China Postdoctoral Science Foundation (Grant No. 2016M591873)China Postdoctoral Science Special Foundation (Grant No. 2017T100384)funded by the Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions。
文摘In this paper, we define and study polynomial entropy on an arbitrary subset and local measure theoretic polynomial entropy for any Borel probability measure on a compact metric space,and investigate the relation between local measure-theoretic polynomial entropy of Borel probability measures and polynomial entropy on an arbitrary subset. Also, we establish a variational principle for polynomial entropy on compact subsets in the context of amenable group actions.
基金This work was partially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No.79930900) the Belgian Government's "Projet d'Actions de Recherche Concertees" (PARC No. 93/98-164) China Educational Ministry's Research Fund for Retur
文摘Partly linear regression model is useful in practice, but littleis investigated in the literature to adapt it to the real data which are dependent and conditionally heteroscedastic. In this paper, the estimators of the regression components are constructed via local polynomial fitting and the large sample properties are explored. Under certain mild regularities, the conditions are obtained to ensure that the estimators of the nonparametric component and its derivatives are consistent up to the convergence rates which are optimal in the i.i.d. case, and the estimator of the parametric component is root-n consistent with the same rate as for parametric model. The technique adopted in the proof differs from that used and corrects the errors in the reference by Hamilton and Truong under i.i.d. samples.
基金This work was supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.10001004 and 39930160)by the US NSF(Grant No.DMS-9971301).
文摘Letf(x) be the density of a design variableX andm(x) = E[Y∣X = x] the regression function. Thenm(x) = G(x)/f(x), whereG(x) = rn(x)f(x). The Dirac δ-function is used to define a generalized empirical functionG n(x) forG(x) whose expectation equalsG(x). This generalized empirical function exists only in the space of Schwartz distributions, so we introduce a local polynomial of orderp approximation toG n(.) which provides estimators of the functionG(x) and its derivatives. The densityf(x) can be estimated in a similar manner. The resulting local generalized empirical estimator (LGE ) ofm(x) is exactly the Nadaraya-Watson estimator at interior points whenp = 1, but on the boundary the estimator automatically corrects the boundary effect. Asymptotic normality of the estimator is established. Asymptotic expressions for the mean squared errors are obtained and used in bandwidth selection. Boundary behavior of the estimators is investigated in details. We use Monte Carlo simulations to show that the proposed estimator withp = 1 compares favorably with the Nadaraya-Watson and the popular local linear regression smoother.
