This article focuses on decision making for retrofit investment of road networks in order to alleviate severe consequences of roadside tree blowdown during tropical cyclones.The consequences include both the physical ...This article focuses on decision making for retrofit investment of road networks in order to alleviate severe consequences of roadside tree blowdown during tropical cyclones.The consequences include both the physical damage associated with roadside trees and the functional degradation associated with road networks.A trilevel,two-stage,and multiobjective stochastic mathematical model was developed to dispatch limited resources to retrofit the roadside trees of a road network.In the model,a new metric was designed to evaluate the performance of a road network;resilience was considered from robustness and recovery efficiency of a road network.The proposed model is at least a nondeterministic polynomialtime hardness(NP-hard)problem,which is unlikely to be solved by a polynomial time algorithm.Pareto-optimal solutions for this problem can be obtained by a proposed trilevel algorithm.The random forest method was employed to transform the trilevel algorithm into a singlelevel algorithm in order to decrease the computation burden.Roadside tree retrofit of a provincial highway network on Hainan Island,China was selected as a case area because it suffers severely from tropical cyclones every year,where there is an urgency to upgrade roadside trees against tropical cyclones.We found that roadside tree retrofit investment significantly alleviates the expected economic losses of roadside tree blowdown,at the same time that it promotes robustness and expected recovery efficiency of the road network.展开更多
The climatic and environmental variations since the Last Interglaciation are reconstructed based on the study of the upper 268 m of the 309-m-long Guliya ice core. Five stages can be distinguished since the Last Inter...The climatic and environmental variations since the Last Interglaciation are reconstructed based on the study of the upper 268 m of the 309-m-long Guliya ice core. Five stages can be distinguished since the Last Interglaciation from the δ18O record in the Guliya ice core: Stage 1 (Deglaciation), Stage 2 (the Last Glacial Maximum), Stage 3 (interstadial), Stage 4 (interstadial in the early glacial maximum) and Stage 5 (the Last Interglaciation). Stage 5 can be divided further into 5 substages; a, b, c, d, e. The δ18O record in the Guliya ice core indicates clearly the close correlation between the temperature variation on the Tibetan Plateau and the solar activities. The study indicates that the solar activity is a main forcing to the climatic variation on the Tibetan Plateau. Through a comparison of the ice core record in Guliya with that in the Greenland and the Antarctic, it can be found that the variation of large temperature variation events in different parts of the world is generally the same, but the variation amplitude of temperature is different.展开更多
The past temperature and precipitation variations are recorded precisely and continuously in μ18O and glacial accumulation records in the Guliya ice core. Fight warm periods and seven cold periods can be distinguishe...The past temperature and precipitation variations are recorded precisely and continuously in μ18O and glacial accumulation records in the Guliya ice core. Fight warm periods and seven cold periods can be distinguished in the past 2000 a. Of the four most intensive cold periods, three are in the Little Ice Age and one in the 11th - 12th century. The variation of precipitation is relatively small compared with that of temperature. Five humid periods and four dry periods occurred in the past 2 000 a. The long-term variation of temperature is positively correlated with that of precipitation according to the Guliya ice core record, but the variation of precipitation lags behind the variation of temperature.展开更多
Evidence for the '8.2 ka cold event' has been provided mostly from the circum-North Atlantic area. However, whether this cold event occurred in other places is a key to understanding its cause. Here, we provid...Evidence for the '8.2 ka cold event' has been provided mostly from the circum-North Atlantic area. However, whether this cold event occurred in other places is a key to understanding its cause. Here, we provide the evidence for the '8.2 ka cold event' from the Guliya ice core in the northwest Tibetan Plateau, and it was found that the peak cooling (-8.3-8.2 ka) in this ice core was about 7.8-10°C, which was larger than the cooling in the North Atlantic region. The primary causes for this episode were diminished solar activity and weakened thermohaline circulation. Moreover, another weak cold event, centered about 9.4 ka, was also recorded in the Guliya ice core record. These two cold events were concurrent with the ice-rafting episodes in the North Atlantic during the early Holocene, which implies that the millennial-scale climatic cyclicity might exist in the Tibetan Plateau as well as in the North Atlantic.展开更多
基金partially supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2016YFA0602403)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41621061)the International Center for Collaborative Research on Disaster Risk Reduction(ICCRDRR)
文摘This article focuses on decision making for retrofit investment of road networks in order to alleviate severe consequences of roadside tree blowdown during tropical cyclones.The consequences include both the physical damage associated with roadside trees and the functional degradation associated with road networks.A trilevel,two-stage,and multiobjective stochastic mathematical model was developed to dispatch limited resources to retrofit the roadside trees of a road network.In the model,a new metric was designed to evaluate the performance of a road network;resilience was considered from robustness and recovery efficiency of a road network.The proposed model is at least a nondeterministic polynomialtime hardness(NP-hard)problem,which is unlikely to be solved by a polynomial time algorithm.Pareto-optimal solutions for this problem can be obtained by a proposed trilevel algorithm.The random forest method was employed to transform the trilevel algorithm into a singlelevel algorithm in order to decrease the computation burden.Roadside tree retrofit of a provincial highway network on Hainan Island,China was selected as a case area because it suffers severely from tropical cyclones every year,where there is an urgency to upgrade roadside trees against tropical cyclones.We found that roadside tree retrofit investment significantly alleviates the expected economic losses of roadside tree blowdown,at the same time that it promotes robustness and expected recovery efficiency of the road network.
基金Project supported by the Climbing Program of the State Eighth Five-Year Plan and the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘The climatic and environmental variations since the Last Interglaciation are reconstructed based on the study of the upper 268 m of the 309-m-long Guliya ice core. Five stages can be distinguished since the Last Interglaciation from the δ18O record in the Guliya ice core: Stage 1 (Deglaciation), Stage 2 (the Last Glacial Maximum), Stage 3 (interstadial), Stage 4 (interstadial in the early glacial maximum) and Stage 5 (the Last Interglaciation). Stage 5 can be divided further into 5 substages; a, b, c, d, e. The δ18O record in the Guliya ice core indicates clearly the close correlation between the temperature variation on the Tibetan Plateau and the solar activities. The study indicates that the solar activity is a main forcing to the climatic variation on the Tibetan Plateau. Through a comparison of the ice core record in Guliya with that in the Greenland and the Antarctic, it can be found that the variation of large temperature variation events in different parts of the world is generally the same, but the variation amplitude of temperature is different.
基金Project supported by the Climbing Program and the National Natural Science Foundation of China.
文摘The past temperature and precipitation variations are recorded precisely and continuously in μ18O and glacial accumulation records in the Guliya ice core. Fight warm periods and seven cold periods can be distinguished in the past 2000 a. Of the four most intensive cold periods, three are in the Little Ice Age and one in the 11th - 12th century. The variation of precipitation is relatively small compared with that of temperature. Five humid periods and four dry periods occurred in the past 2 000 a. The long-term variation of temperature is positively correlated with that of precipitation according to the Guliya ice core record, but the variation of precipitation lags behind the variation of temperature.
基金This work was supported by the Chinese National Committee of Science and Technology (Grant No. G1998040800)the Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. KZCX1-10-02)+1 种基金 the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 49801004) the US NSF-ESH
文摘Evidence for the '8.2 ka cold event' has been provided mostly from the circum-North Atlantic area. However, whether this cold event occurred in other places is a key to understanding its cause. Here, we provide the evidence for the '8.2 ka cold event' from the Guliya ice core in the northwest Tibetan Plateau, and it was found that the peak cooling (-8.3-8.2 ka) in this ice core was about 7.8-10°C, which was larger than the cooling in the North Atlantic region. The primary causes for this episode were diminished solar activity and weakened thermohaline circulation. Moreover, another weak cold event, centered about 9.4 ka, was also recorded in the Guliya ice core record. These two cold events were concurrent with the ice-rafting episodes in the North Atlantic during the early Holocene, which implies that the millennial-scale climatic cyclicity might exist in the Tibetan Plateau as well as in the North Atlantic.
