摘要
本文应用时间序列分析方法,建立黑荆树林分总生长量的AR(p)模型,据以预测未来林分平均直径、平均高、蓄积量的月总生长量,其预测误差分别不超过±2%、±4%和±5%有较高的预测精度,在生产上具有一定的实用价值。
Using a time series analysis, the AR(P) model of total stand-increment on wattle was developed to anticipate the future total monthly increment for the mean stand-diameter, the mean stand-height and the stand and their forecasting accuracy is high with a fairly practical value in the production because the error measurement do not exceed ± 2%, ±4% and ±5% respectively.
出处
《福建林学院学报》
CSCD
1989年第1期43-49,共7页
Journal of Fujian College of Forestry