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电力扩张对工业发展影响的因果评估——来自近代中国的证据 被引量:1

Expansion of Electricity and Industrial Growth in Early Twentieth-Century China
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摘要 本文使用新搜集的近代电力数据,考察20世纪初电力供给的迅速扩张对工业发展的影响。借助1875—1936年的面板数据,基准回归使用双重差分和工具变量法发现电力供给促进了当地工业企业进入。为进一步考察电力对企业生产过程的影响,我们基于棉纺织业的微观企业数据,发现电力供给增加后,企业在生产过程中投入了更多的劳动力和纱锭,提高了产品质量;同时,电力的影响主要集中在生产率较高的小企业上,从而提升了整个行业的组织效率。 We use latest digitized data on historical electric power plants to study the impact of power plants on industrial growth in early twentieth-century China.Using a difference-in-differences approach,we find the expansion of electricity has increased the number of recent established industrial firms in the same county.We further use historical urban population and international coal price to construct an instrumental variable.We then use firm-level data on the textile industry to examine the effect on firms' production and find that the expansion of electricity mainly affect the smaller and more productive firms,thus has enhanced the efficiency of the industry.
作者 刘丛 陈婷 薄诗雨 LIU Cong;CHEN Ting;BO Shiyu(Jinan University;Hong Kong Baptist University,China)
出处 《经济学(季刊)》 CSSCI 北大核心 2024年第1期189-204,共16页 China Economic Quarterly
基金 国家自然科学基金资助项目(72273053、72373050、71803113、71803064) 北大-林肯中心年度研究基金(FS02-20211215-BSY) 用友基金会“商的长城”资助项目(2021-Y05) 广州市哲学社会科学发展“十三五”规划(2020GZGJ42) 中央高校基本科研业务费(23JNQN24、20JNTZ16) 香港研究资助局(12503222、22502819)的资助。
关键词 电力 工业发展 能源基础设施 electricity industrial development energy infrastructure
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