摘要
文章认为,新时代的科技发展处于赶超式、对抗性和不确定性等复杂环境中,科技发展的导向也呈现出由问题导向转变为目标与愿景导向的迹象,这就需要情报扮演先行者的角色,这是时代赋予情报的新使命。为此,文章构建了可满足新时代科技发展情报需求的情报体系理论框架,并分析了框架的基本要素构成及其之间的关系。特别强调,为有效支撑作为先导的这一新型情报功能,要将预测、预见型情报方法和情报流程中的"假定"环节放在突出重要的位置。最后以抓住国家重要战略机遇为视角,提出了情报体系实现的基本策略。
This article argues that competitive, confrontational, and uncertain environmental issues have caused science and technology development to need a new intelligence service, and that the direction of science and technology development also shows signs of transition from being problem-oriented to goal-and vision-oriented, with leading function becoming the core function of intelligence work.“Leading function”is defined in this article;a theoretical framework for an intelligence system that leads science and technology development is constructed;and basic elements and their relationships are analyzed. Furthermore, the application of predictive and foreseeable intelligence analysis methods and the importance of“presumption”in the intelligence analysis process are emphasized. Finally, basic strategies for intelligence system implementation is explored, based on important national strategies.
作者
李品
杨建林
杨国立
Li Pin;Yang Jianlin;Yang Guoli(School of Information Management, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023;Jiangsu Key Laboratory of Data Engineering & Knowledge Service, Nanjing University, Nanjing 210023;Library of Jiangsu University, Zhenjiang 212013)
出处
《情报学报》
CSSCI
CSCD
北大核心
2019年第2期111-120,共10页
Journal of the China Society for Scientific and Technical Information
基金
国家社会科学基金重大项目"情报学学科建设与情报工作未来发展路径研究"(17ZDA291)
国家社会科学基金重点项目"面向国家发展与安全决策的情报服务创新研究"(18ATQ003)
江苏省社会科学基金项目"Intelligence导向的情报学知识体系与核心问题域研究"(17TQB008)
关键词
情报体系
情报功能
科技发展
leading style intelligence system
intelligence function
science and technology development
