摘要
转变旅游经济增长方式,加大技术进步贡献率是西部民族地区旅游经济持续发展的重大问题。文章用OSL估计方法建立了样本区域旅游就业线性模型和索洛余值增长模型,研究发现:已有研究中基于经济规模不变的全要素生产率测算的前提假设与现实严重不符。现阶段西部民族地区旅游经济增长的资本要素与劳动要素弹性和为2.03,呈规模报酬递增,且资本、劳动和技术进步贡献差异明显,资本投入要素贡献度高达182%,劳动投入32%,平均广义技术进步贡献率极低仅为-11%,是典型的投资驱动型增长模式。最后为持续发展西部旅游经济,提出加强技术引进、制度创新及继续大量资本投入的旅游经济增长方式转型的建议。
Changing the mode of tourism economic growth and increasing the contribution of technological progress are the major issues in the sustainable economic development of western ethnic regions＇ tourism. By using OSL estimation method, this paper set up tourism employment linear model and Solow＇s residual value growth model. And it found out that the assumptions of total factor productivity calculation which was based on stable economic scale deviated from reality seriously. The capital and labor elements elastic coefficient was 2.03, which indicated the returns to scale increased. And the contribution of the capital, labor and technological progress had significant differences. The contribution of capital input was 182%, while the labor input contribution was only 32%. The average generalized technological progress contribution rate was extremely low, which was on- ly -11%. It showed that it is a typical model of investment driving growth. Finally, it proposed some suggestions to develop western tourism economy, which were enhancing technology transfer, institutional innovation and insisting the tourism economic growth of large capital investment.
出处
《华东经济管理》
CSSCI
2011年第9期45-49,共5页
East China Economic Management
基金
国家社会科学基金项目(07BJY138)
教育部社科规划课题(10YJA790193)
湖南省自然与文化遗产研究基地委托项目"世界遗产价值与价值创造分析"
湖南省生态旅游应用技术重点实验室项目
关键词
旅游经济增长模式
全要素生产率
西部民族地区
tourism economic growth mode
total factor productivity
western ethnic regions
