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论经济转型期中国汇率改革作用的局限性——客观、冷静地对待国际收支“双顺差” 被引量:4

The Limited Effect of Exchange Rate Reform in the Transitional Economy China
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摘要 文章分析了我国转型经济复杂性的主要表现及其内在原因与关联,进而论证了国内经济发展的失衡决定了中国外部经济的不平衡增长。重商主义的贸易政策、国际产业转移与新型工业化阶段、外资政策调整与金融市场发展严重滞后以及盘根错节、互为因果的改革局面等因素,极大地制约了人民币汇率改革在发挥调整贸易与国际收支、优化区域经济与产业结构、刺激国内需求和推进整体改革等方面的作用。文章指出:我国国际收支“双顺差”的不平衡问题是制度、政策、结构和特定发展阶段所形成的,具有一定的长期性、客观性和趋势性。应该历史、全面和理性地来对待和处理这一不平衡问题。 The imbalanced development of China's foreign economy has its root in the imbalance of its domestic economy. A number of interrelated and interdetermined factors, including the mercantile doctrine in China's foreign trade policy, the transferring of international industries and the stage of China's new industrialization, the adjustment of foreign investment policy and the lagging development of financial markets, combine to undermine the role of the exchange rate reform, which is to adjust China's foreign trade structure and balance of payments, optimize regional economic structure and industry structure, stimulate domestic demand and promote the whole reform process. The imbalance of "double surpluses" in China's payments of balance is the result of the combined force of the country's system, policy, structure and certain development stage. Thus the imbalance, which is objective and will continue to exist for a long time, should be dealt with historically, rationally and across-the-board.
作者 刘光溪
出处 《复旦学报(社会科学版)》 CSSCI 北大核心 2006年第6期51-57,共7页 Fudan Journal(Social Sciences)
关键词 经济转型 汇率改革 国际收支“双顺差” transitional economy exchange rate reform double surpluses
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